dbacksfan414

What a bad day to be a bubble team. Two teams that would get at-larges if they did not win their conference tournament (South Alabama and Gonzaga) lost, so 2 more bubble spots are now taken (plus VCU lost yesterday). I am now adding every conference's automatic bid to locks so we can see how many bids are actually available. Siena, San Diego, Davidson, and George Mason all earned automatic NCAA Tournament births by winning their respective conference tournament. I can't imagine what it would be like if Butler lost tomorrow.

ACC (4)

Conference Champ: North Carolina
At-large: Duke, Clemson, Miami
Bubble Watch: Virginia Tech, Maryland, Florida State

America East (1)

Conference Champ: Maryland-Baltimore County
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Atlantic 10 (2)

Conference Champ: Xavier
At-large: Massachusetts
Bubble Watch: Dayton, St. Joseph's, Temple, Rhode Island

Atlantic Sun (1)

Conference Champ: Belmont
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Big 12 (6)

Conference Champ: Kansas
At-large: Texas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Baylor
Bubble Watch: Nebraska

Big East (8)

Conference Champ: Georgetown
At-large: Louisville, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, Pittsburgh, West Virginia, Syracuse
Bubble Watch: Villanova

Big Sky (1)

Conference Champ: Portland State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Big South (1)

Conference Champ: Winthrop
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Big Ten (5)

Conference Champ: Wisconsin
At-large: Purdue, Indiana, Michigan State, Ohio State
Bubble Watch: none

Big West (1)

Conference Champ: Cal State Northridge
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Colonial (1)

Conference Champ: George Mason
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: Virginia Commonwealth

Conference USA (1)

Conference Champ: Memphis
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: UAB, Houston

Horizon League (1)

Conference Champ: Butler
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

**Ivy (1)

Conference Champ: Cornell
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

**The Ivy league does not have a conference tournament. The regular season champion gets the automatic bid.

Metro Atlantic (1)

Conference Champ: Siena
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Mid-American (1)

Conference Champ: Kent State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Mid-Eastern (1)

Conference Champ: Morgan State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Missouri Valley (2)

Conference Champ: Drake
At-large: Illinois State
Bubble Watch: Creighton

Mountain West (3)

Conference Champ: BYU
At-large: UNLV, New Mexico
Bubble Watch: none

Northeast (1)

Conference Champ: Sacred Heart
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Ohio Valley (1)

Conference Champ: Austin Peay
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Pac-10 (5)

Conference Champ: UCLA
At-large: Stanford, Washington State, Southern California, Arizona
Bubble Watch: Arizona State, Oregon

Patriot (1)

Conference Champ: American
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

SEC (5)

Conference Champ: Tennessee
At-large: Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Kentucky, Arkansas
Bubble Watch: Mississippi, Florida

Southern (1)

Conference Champ: Davidson
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Southland (1)

Conference Champ: Stephen F. Austin
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Summit League (1)

Conference Champ: Oral Roberts
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

SWAC (1)

Conference Champ: Alabama State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Sun Belt (2)

Conference Champ: Western Kentucky
At-large: South Alabama
Bubble Watch: none

WAC (1)

Conference Champ: Nevada
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: Utah State, Boise State

West Coast (3)

Conference Champ: San Diego
At-large: Gonzaga, St. Mary's
Bubble Watch: none

Last 4 in:

62. Arizona
63. Illinois State
64. Syracuse
65. Ohio State

Last 4 out:

66. Arizona State
67. Villanova
68. Oregon
69. UAB

Next 4 out:

70. Virginia Tech
71. Virginia Commonwealth
72. Maryland
73. Dayton

Next Next 4 out:

74. Mississippi
75. St. Joseph's
76. Florida
77. Houston

Locks (52): Locks are teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament regardless of what they do in the conference tournament. They are subject to change on a week-to-week basis. I added the other conferences to see how many at-larges could be left. Teams in bold won the automatic bid.

ACC (3): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson
America East (1): ???
Atlantic 10 (1): Xavier
Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont
Big 12 (3): Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma
Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, Pittsburgh, West Virginia
Big Sky (1): ???
Big South (1): Winthrop
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Purdue, Indiana, Michigan State
Big West (1): ???
Colonial (1): George Mason
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Butler
Ivy (1): Cornell
MAAC (1): Siena
Mid-American (1): ???
Mid-Eastern (1): ???
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (1): BYU
Northeast (1): ???
Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay
Pac-10 (4): UCLA, Stanford, Washington State, Southern California
Patriot (1): ???
SEC (3): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State
Southern (1): Davidson
Southland (1): ???
Summit (1): ???
Sun Belt (2): South Alabama, ???
SWAC (1): ???
WAC (1): ???
West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary's, San Diego

Should be in (5):

ACC (1): Miami
Big 12 (2): Kansas State, Baylor
Mountain West (1): UNLV
SEC (1): Kentucky

Estimated at-larges available: 8

Seeding:

1 seeds: North Carolina, Memphis, UCLA, Tennessee
2 seeds: Kansas, Wisconsin, Texas, Duke
3 seeds: Georgetown, Xavier, Stanford, Louisville
4 seeds: Butler, Notre Dame, Connecticut, Purdue
5 seeds: Drake, Indiana, Vanderbilt, Southern California
6 seeds: Michigan State, Washington State, Clemson, BYU
7 seeds: Marquette, Gonzaga, Pittsburgh, Mississippi State
8 seeds: Kansas State, Oklahoma, Kentucky, St. Mary's
9 seeds: West Virginia, Miami, Davidson, Baylor
10 seeds: UNLV, South Alabama, Massachusetts, Texas A&M
11 seeds: Arkansas, Kent State, New Mexico, Arizona
12 seeds: Illinois State, Syracuse, Ohio State, George Mason
13 seeds: Western Kentucky, Cornell, Nevada, San Diego
14 seeds: Stephen F. Austin, Oral Roberts, Siena, Belmont
15 seeds: Maryland-Baltimore County, Winthrop, Cal State Northridge, American
16 seeds: Austin Peay, Portland State, Sacred Heart, Morgan State, Alabama State